Corte Madera CA Real Estate Data Q2 2011

July 3, 2011

Filed under: Central Marin,Corte Madera — dwdupont @ 9:48 am

Please scoll down to see Q2 2011 Data. Also please consider that I compile all this data personally. Your choice to work with us will save you money as the incredible time commitment required to assemble and publish this data each quarter results in much stronger and more dynamic negotiations which ultimately benefit you whether you’re a buyer or a seller:

Big Picture:
A distinct surge in positive home buying sentiment appeared in the first few months of 2011 triggered primarily by people wanting the recession to be done with and reacting to each positive media announcement as proof that the “Great Recession” was FINALLY OVER!  Unfortunately, the earthquake and tsunami in Japan, and the revolutions in the Middle East combined with dismal US economic data domestically reversed this media consumer trend and scared the home buying turtles back in their shells.

The current statistics clearly indicated a double dip in prices in Marin County—the severity of which is town dependent: Tiburon is having its worst year on record while Ross, and Kentfield are having quite positive years. This broad based double dip in prices is more reflective of sellers finally accepting the new pricing structure that a general decline in the pricing structure itself.

This double dip in prices combined with rising (energy) prices hint to a potential rough economy for a year or two ahead. I anticipate 5 more years of  challenging real estate market conditions broken up by brief periods of buying activity.

Seller Tips:

  • Sellers need to be priced properly, on the MLS, and on lockbox available for buyers to see at a moment’s notice to capture these fleeting spikes of buyer activity.
  • The market has never been more price dependent and buyers never more informed and  price conscious. Homes must be priced within a “window of perceived value” in order to garner offers—otherwise the property won’t get many showings and is quite unlikely to sell.
  • The typical seasonal trends of strong Springs and slow Summers & New Years have changed and now any time of the year is an equally challenging time list your home for sale. We never know when these spikes of buyer activity will occur and during the Great Recession they have occured sporadically year yound.

Buyer Tips:

  • Success for home buyers is dependent on a quick trigger finger. Homes sit until prices fall into the window of perceived vale and then they sell very quickly. Don’t lose the deal because of a rounding error in highly charge negotiations.
  • Buyers need to price homes by lot value and structure cost in addition to “the comps”. I have recently seen some homes trade for too much and others not enough because of valuation uncertainty.

Corte Madera CA Real Estate & Corte Madera Homes

Corte Madera Single Family home prices are having a flat to marginally up year and, like Larkspur CA Real Estate, show the dividing line between Southern Marin and price declines and Central Marin (Ross & Kentfield) Prices advances.

The DuPont Group is a dynamic real estate team active in Southern and Central Marin communities. Dave received his MBA from Pepperdine University and is a Certified Financial Planner (CFP). Please call or email us anytime for more information.


Corte Madera CA Real Estate Update Q1 2011

April 13, 2011

Filed under: Central Marin,Corte Madera — dwdupont @ 12:38 pm

Employment leads real estate which is why it is so important to measure regional economic data together with statistical trends to find opportunities or anomalies in our markets. The more recent the “comp” the less it tells us about these trends in real worth, and the more it tells us about buyer psyche and current market value. From this perspective at the top of the market homes were trading no closer to their inherent value than they were at the bottom of the recession. We use a full business cycle of data to determine “fair value” and trailing 12 month data to show where homes are trading in relation to fair value.

For most towns of Central Marin County including Corte Madera, the outlook for real estate is fair—which is very good relative to most other places in the nation. The market for Commercial office space is picking up in San Francisco and this foreshadows new jobs and greater demand in 6-12 months. The current double dip we are seeing in prices in Marin is more reflective of the cost of construction, the dated nature of many homes and sellers of those dated homes becoming acclimated to the new pricing structure—i.e. dated homes are selling closer to lot value given the costs inherent in bringing them up to current trends in buyers tastes and wants.

As you scan the data below please consider that we compile all this data personally. We don’t buy it and paste it here. Your choice to work with us will save you money as the incredible time commitment required to assemble and publish this data each quarter results in much stronger and more dynamic negotiations which ultimately benefit you whether you’re a buyer or a seller

The DuPont Group is a dynamic real estate team active in Southern and Central Marin communities. Dave received his MBA from Pepperdine University and is a Certified Financial Planner (CFP). Please call or email us anytime for more information.


Q3 Corte Madera CA Real Estate Review

October 5, 2010

Filed under: Corte Madera — dwdupont @ 11:09 am

 


Corte Madera CA Real Estate: Fall 2010 Update

August 21, 2010

Filed under: Corte Madera — dwdupont @ 10:36 am

Corte Madera is having a decent year all things considered and relative to other towns in Marin.  Please reference our main website www.thedupontgroup.net or call Dave 415-867-6611 for more information.


Corte Madera Real Estate Q1 Market Update

April 2, 2010

Filed under: Corte Madera — dwdupont @ 12:01 pm

 

The Spring 2010 market is off to a roaring start. The momentum started late in 2009 in the lower market segments (bottom 2 price quartiles of each town) and has continued in those market segments. The health of any real estate market originates in the lower market segments and slowly ripples up the price spectrum until at the end of the cycle the top of the market peaks when the lower end has already started contracting—as happened in the last cycle. While average, median & $/SQFT price trends are marginally improving, unit sales are seeing a greater bounce.

Please start by reading the Marin Update:  at right click “Marin Update”.

Additional information regarding Corte Madera CA Real Estate can we found on www.TheDuPontGroup.net , our groups primary website.


Corte Madera CA Real Estate 2009 Review

February 12, 2010

Filed under: Corte Madera — dwdupont @ 7:27 am

Marin County Real Estate
In the last 44 years, there have been only two years (excluding 2008 & 2009) when average home prices in Marin County have decreased from one year to the next: -1.2% in 1991 and -1.4% in 1992– after the S&L crisis.

Marin County average residential home prices fell -12.7% in 2008 and -21% in 2009.  

 A unit-sale weighted average of Southern, Central & Northern Marin show Southern Marin prices are down -17.4%, Central Marin down -13.1%, and Northern Marin down -18.4% from 2008 levels.

For much more more information from a mile high perspective please see right nav bar, click & read “Marin Update”.

Corte Madera Real Estate
Corte Madera Real Estate is down about 25% from its peak in 2007. SFR homes are off 22% and condos are down 13%. Units sales of condos have held up better than unit sales of SFR which is why average prices for all residential are down more than either SFR or condos.

33% of the homes on the market are in contract in Corte Madera. This is a very positve number and is a great example of the surge in demand that hit the market in mid November and continued into February.  In a typical year most sellers pull their unsold listings off the market around Thanksgiving and keep them off thru Super Bowl Sunday.  We are currently seeing the most demand since Summer of 2008. Sellers are advised to list their homes as soon as possbile. note that 67% of homes in the bottom quartile are currently in contract.

Corte Madera CA Real Estate Current market data

Corte Madera CA Real Estate Current market data 2

We should start to see more inventory hitting the market every day for the next 90 or so days.

Below is the the 40 year price chart for Corte Madera. Notice how similar it is to the Marin Average.

Corte Madera CA Real Estate 35 Year house price table

Corta Madera tracks the Marin average very closely…

Corte Madera CA Real Estate Annual Return line chart

Notice the rates of return above and below when you add the effects of leverage (mortgage). Why would you invest your money in anything else? During the early Bubble years I worked at Merrill Lynch as CFP/Financial planner/advisor and everyone i spoke with in the Bay Area was investing in real estate. Young professionals were taking $50,000 bonus’ and leveraging up into $2mm investment properties. I tried to tell everyone we were approaching the end of the cycle and that prices were bound to correct. Unfortunately– there was no data to draw from that showed that real estate prices could actually go down… so everybody assumed it was a risk free investment; and by comparison stocks, bonds and mutual funds looked relatively boring with low returns.

Below: notice the drop in Lot Values and location values for Corta Madera SFR and Condos… my buyers have used this information to create value for themselves in both their negotiations as well as their targeting of homes… Call Dave for more information 415-867-6611

The next 5 Graphs represent quarter pricing relative to the same time period over a period of years. While Corte Madera has seen a 14% price drop, it is more mild that other towns which are showing more volatility.

Corte Madera CA Real Estate Quarterly House Price Data

This picture is worth a thousand words..:

Corte Madera CA Real Estate Quarterly House Price Data  2

Corte Madera CA Real Estate Quarterly House Price Data 4

Anatomy of a bubble:

Corte Madera CA Real Estate Quarterly House Price Data 5

In the above and below graphs by quarter it is easy to see the seasonality of real estate in Marin. The spring is clearly our chance to get you the best prices of the year.

Corte Madera CA Real Estate Quarterly House Price Data 6

Corte Madera CA Real Estate Quarterly House Price Data 7

The below graphs show you similar data as the above  5 graphs only by year instead of by quarter. By comparing similar graphs using different time periods we start to understand buyer behavior given the economic conditions and it helps us in our marketing and our negotiations. Please call Dave for more explanation 415-867-6611:

Corte Madera CA Real Estate annual House Price Data

Corte Madera CA Real Estate annual House Price Data 3

Corte Madera CA Real Estate annual House Price Data 2

Corte Madera CA Real Estate Rate of return table

In 2008 and 2009, Dave and the DuPont Group are leading agents in Marin County Real Estate. Since the recession began in earnest in 2008, Dave personally closed over 36 sales and $47m in real estate sales, and his group has closed over $60m. For 2 years running Dave has sold more homes than any other agent at DB Sotheby’s Intl Realty. The data in these pages represents the extra mile we go for clients and is our competitive advantage over other agents in all parts of Marin. Now is not the time to select an agent to represent you because they are a friend or even because they may have represented you in the past. The work habits most realtors has evolved over the past 20 years are not translating well into selling homes in today’s real estate environment where home buyers make decisions because of financial considerations as opposed to emotional ones.

Dave is a Certified Financial Planner (CFP), Certified Financial Manager (CFM), received his MBA from Pepperdine University, a CA real estate broker and worked for approximately 10 years in the San Francisco financial district. This Blog works in conjunction with The DuPont Groups primary web site.

Please call me to discuss this information in more detail 415-867-6611 – Dave


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