Ross CA Real Estate Data Q2 2011

July 3, 2011

Filed under: Central Marin,Ross — dwdupont @ 11:25 am

Please scoll down to see Q2 2011 Data. Also please consider that I compile all this data personally. Your choice to work with us will save you money as the incredible time commitment required to assemble and publish this data each quarter results in much stronger and more dynamic negotiations which ultimately benefit you whether you’re a buyer or a seller:

Big Picture:
A distinct surge in positive home buying sentiment appeared in the first few months of 2011 triggered primarily by people wanting the recession to be done with and reacting to each positive media announcement as proof that the “Great Recession” was FINALLY OVER!  Unfortunately, the earthquake and tsunami in Japan, and the revolutions in the Middle East combined with dismal US economic data domestically reversed this media consumer trend and scared the home buying turtles back in their shells.

The current statistics clearly indicated a double dip in prices in Marin County—the severity of which is town dependent: Tiburon is having its worst year on record while Ross, and Kentfield are having quite positive years. This broad based double dip in prices is more reflective of sellers finally accepting the new pricing structure that a general decline in the pricing structure itself.

This double dip in prices combined with rising (energy) prices hint to a potential rough economy for a year or two ahead. I anticipate 5 more years of  challenging real estate market conditions broken up by brief periods of buying activity.

Seller Tips:

  • Sellers need to be priced properly, on the MLS, and on lockbox available for buyers to see at a moment’s notice to capture these fleeting spikes of buyer activity.
  • The market has never been more price dependent and buyers never more informed and  price conscious. Homes must be priced within a “window of perceived value” in order to garner offers—otherwise the property won’t get many showings and is quite unlikely to sell.
  • The typical seasonal trends of strong Springs and slow Summers & New Years have changed and now any time of the year is an equally challenging time list your home for sale. We never know when these spikes of buyer activity will occur and during the Great Recession they have occured sporadically year yound.

Buyer Tips:

  • Success for home buyers is dependent on a quick trigger finger. Homes sit until prices fall into the window of perceived vale and then they sell very quickly. Don’t lose the deal because of a rounding error in highly charge negotiations.
  • Buyers need to price homes by lot value and structure cost in addition to “the comps”. I have recently seen some homes trade for too much and others not enough because of valuation uncertainty.

Ross CA Real Estate & Ross CA Homes

Ross real estate is having a great year by price and a mediocre year by unit sales and is capitalizing on the trend of buyers wanting better weather and bypassing Southern Marin to find it. Ross, Kentfield, Larkspur and to a lesser extent Corte Madera are all having decent years. Northern & Central Marin are suffering a much different result in 2011.

As you scan the data below please consider that we compile all this data personally. We don’t buy it and paste it here. Your choice to work with us will save you money as the incredible time commitment required to assemble and publish this data each quarter results in much stronger and more dynamic negotiations which ultimately benefit you whether you’re a buyer or a seller.

The DuPont Group is a dynamic real estate team active in Southern and Central Marin communities. Dave received his MBA from Pepperdine University and is a Certified Financial Planner (CFP). Please call or email us anytime for more information


Ross CA Real Estate Update Q1 2011

April 13, 2011

Filed under: Central Marin,Ross — dwdupont @ 12:18 pm

Ross CA Real Estate Trends

Employment leads real estate which is why it is so important to measure regional economic data together with statistical trends to find opportunities or anomalies in our markets. The more recent the “comp” the less it tells us about these trends in real worth, and the more it tells us about buyer psyche and current market value. From this perspective at the top of the market homes were trading no closer to their inherent value than they were at the bottom of the recession. We use a full business cycle of data to determine “fair value” and trailing 12 month data to show where homes are trading in relation to fair value.

For most towns of Marin County including Ross & Kentfield, the outlook for real estate is fair—which is very good relative to most other places in the nation. The market for Commercial office space is picking up in San Francisco and this foreshadows new jobs and greater demand in 6-12 months. The current double dip we are seeing in prices in Marin is more reflective of the cost of construction, the dated nature of many homes and sellers of those dated homes becoming acclimated to the new pricing structure—i.e. dated homes are selling closer to lot value given the costs inherent in bringing them up to current trends in buyers tastes and wants.

As you scan the data below please consider that we compile all this data personally. We don’t buy it and paste it here. Your choice to work with us will save you money as the incredible time commitment required to assemble and publish this data each quarter results in much stronger and more dynamic negotiations which ultimately benefit you whether you’re a buyer or a seller

For more information about Ross, please visit. www.TheDuPontGroup.net .

The DuPont Group is a dynamic real estate team active in Southern and Central Marin communities. Dave received his MBA from Pepperdine University and is a Certified Financial Planner (CFP). Please call or email us anytime for more information.


Q3 Ross CA Real Estate Review

October 5, 2010

Filed under: Ross — dwdupont @ 11:45 am


Ross CA Real Estate: Fall 2010 Update

August 20, 2010

Filed under: Ross — dwdupont @ 11:25 am

Ross CA Homes are not fairing so well– the number of buyers has collapsed and few homes are selling. That said there have been some bright points in the form of top-dollar sales, but generally speaking most homes in Ross are at price points which buyers in this market feel no urgency to buy. The proof of this is found in the below Inventory numbers: There are 25 homes on the market in Ross and only 3 are in contract– 12%.

Please reference the Marin Update for additional information.

Please reference our main website www.thedupontgroup.net or call Dave 415-867-6611 for more information.

Please call or email me at 415-867-6611 or email me at Dave@TheDuPontGroup.net to set up a time to talk.  Our marketing website is www.TheDuPontGroup.net and a Marin pricing tool can be found at www.HomeToggle.com .


Ross Real Estate Q1 Market Update

April 2, 2010

Filed under: Ross — dwdupont @ 1:11 pm

The Spring 2010 market is off to a roaring start. The momentum started late in 2009 in the lower market segments (bottom 2 price quartiles of each town) and has continued in those market segments. The health of any real estate market originates in the lower market segments and slowly ripples up the price spectrum until at the end of the cycle the top of the market peaks when the lower end has already started contracting—as happened in the last cycle. While average, median & $/SQFT price trends are marginally improving, unit sales are seeing a greater bounce.

Please start by reading the Marin Update:  at right click “Marin Update”.

Additional information regarding Ross CA Real Estate can be found on www.TheDuPontGroup.net , our groups primary website.


Ross CA Real Estate 2009 Review

February 12, 2010

Filed under: Ross — dwdupont @ 8:34 am

Marin Real Estate
In the last 44 years, there have been only two years (excluding 2008 & 2009) when average home prices in Marin County have decreased from one year to the next: -1.2% in 1991 and -1.4% in 1992– after the S&L crisis.

Marin County average residential home prices fell -12.7% in 2008 and -21% in 2009.  

 A unit-sale weighted average of Southern, Central & Northern Marin show Southern Marin prices are down -17.4%, Central Marin down -13.1%, and Northern Marin down -18.4% from 2008 levels.

For much more more information from a mile high perspective please see right nav bar, click & read “Marin Update”.

Ross Real Estate

The are currently 21 homes on the market in Ross and 5 of them, or 24%, are currentle in contract. This number indicates a healty balance between buyers and seller of Ross Real Estate. Notice that most of the homs in contract are clustered at the low end of the market.

Ross CA Real Estate Current Market Data

Ross CA Real Estate Current Market Data

Ross CA Real Estate Current Market Data

Ross CA Real Estate Current MArket Data 2

 

Ross CA Real Estate 8 Year SFR Home Sale Data

Ross CA Real Estate 8 Year SFR Data Table

Ross CA Real Estate Quarterly Price Data

Ross CA Real Estate

Ross CA Real Estate Quarterly Price Data 2

Ross CA Real Estate Quarterly Price Data

Ross CA Real Estate Quarterly Price Data Unit Sales

Ross CA Real Estate Quarterly Price Data Q4 Unit Sales

Ross CA Real Estate Quarterly Price Data Line Graph

Ross CA Real Estate Quarterly Price Data

Ross CA Real Estate Quarterly Price Data Average $/sqft Line graph

Ross CA Real Estate Quarterly Price Data Av $sqft Line

Ross CA Real Estate Quarterly Price Data Line Graph 2

Ross CA Real Estate Quarterly Price Data Sales by Quarter Line

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Data 2

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Data

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Data Median Bar Graph

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Data Median Sales

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Data Unit Sales

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Data SFR Unit sales

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Data 35 Year Table

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Data 35 Year Price table

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Data ROR w/ Mortgage

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Data ROR with Mortgage

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Data 35 Year ROR comparison

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Data 30 year comparison Line Graph

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Data

Ross CA Real Estate Annual Price Census and Income

Ross CA Real Estate Census and Income Data 2

Ross CA Real Estate Census and Income Data 2

Ross CA Real Estate Census and Income Data 3

Ross CA Real Estate Census and Income Data 3

In 2008 and 2009, Dave and the DuPont Group are leading agents in Marin County Real Estate. Since the recession began in earnest in 2008, Dave personally closed over 36 sales and $47m in real estate sales, and his group has closed over $60m. For 2 years running Dave has sold more homes than any other agent at DB Sotheby’s Intl Realty. The data in these pages represents the extra mile we go for clients and is our competitive advantage over other agents in all parts of Marin. Now is not the time to select an agent to represent you because they are a friend or even because they may have represented you in the past. The work habits most realtors has evolved over the past 20 years are not translating well into selling homes in today’s real estate environment where home buyers make decisions because of financial considerations as opposed to emotional ones.

Dave is a Certified Financial Planner (CFP), Certified Financial Manager (CFM), received his MBA from Pepperdine University, a CA real estate broker and worked for approximately 10 years in the San Francisco financial district. This Blog works in conjunction with The DuPont Groups primary web site.

Please call me to discuss this information in more detail 415-867-6611 – Dave


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